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FOR CONSULTING TEAMS

Build Probabilistic Business Cases
In Hours, Not Weeks

Deliver executive-grade business cases with 10,000+ scenarios in a fraction of the time. Dramatically increase analytical quality and client impact while reducing effort per project.

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Profit Uncertainty and Impact drivers

Input assumptions and their contribution to uncertainty and outcome.

Introduced Uncertainty
Impact (+1%)
Number of organic visits
39%
+$4.5K
Website conversion rate
31%
+$6.7K
Cost per click
8%
-$2K
FTE cost per headcount
-$2.2K
4%
Marketing budget
+$1.9K
1%
Headcount
-$2.2K
Price
+$6.7K
Rent
-$1.8K

THE CONSULTING REALITY

High Effort, Limited Insight

Business cases sit at the core of strategy, transformation, and investment projects. But the traditional workflow burns time where clients don't pay and leaves uncertainty vague.

schedule

Days building Excel models

A lot of effort goes into model mechanics: building, QA, versioning, fixing broken links, updating slides.

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Point estimates invite debate

A single "best guess" number forces endless follow-ups: "What if adoption is slower?" "What if costs run over?"

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Risk stays qualitative

The model looks precise while risk and uncertainty live in bullet points

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Review cycles get expensive

Partner/senior review often turns into cell-tracing and assumption defense instead of decision guidance

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The Result

High effort for limited insight, heavy staffing for analytical work and business cases that look rigorous but omit critical blind spots.

THE PROBLEM

Static Models in a Probabilistic World

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Traditional Approach

  • Produce a "best guess" outcome (+ a few sensitivities)
  • Handle risk with arbitrary scenarios and qualitative descriptions
  • Make trade-offs hard to assess quantitatively
  • Create outcomes that are difficult to defend
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Bayescase Approach

  • Simulate 10,000+ scenarios from one model
  • Systematically vary all key assumptions
  • Show probabilities for every outcome
  • Rank drivers by impact and uncertainty so validation is efficient

format_quoteIn boardrooms, static models don't fail because the math is wrong. They fail because uncertainty is hidden and stakeholders argue about inputs instead of making a decision.

THE BAYESCASE ADVANTAGE

fast, traceable and risk-aware by design

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Probabilistic out of the box

Run 10,000+ simulations natively. Turn assumptions into distributions and get probabilities for every outcome. No macros, no plugins.

visibility

Transparent assumptions

Every input, range, and source is visible. No hidden cells, no black boxes. Full traceability for client reviews.

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AI as a starting point

AI can scaffold the model structure and propose reasonable assumption ranges. You stay in control with explicit logic and inputs.

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C-level visualizations

Scenario visualizations designed for board rooms. Communicate uncertainty clearly to senior stakeholders.

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Reusable value drivers

Build once, use across projects. Create a library of validated assumptions and drivers for faster engagements.

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Works alongside your tools

Use Bayescase for the probabilistic core, then export outputs into decks or feed ranges/results into your preferred BI/FP&A workflow.

QUANTIFIED IMPACT

Tangible Benefits for Consulting Teams

50–70%Time ReductionLess build and rebuild work, fewer manual sensitivities, faster iteration when assumptions change.
10K+ScenariosReplace "one number" with a distribution: upside, downside, and the probability of hitting targets.
HigherProject MarginsThrough leaner staffing on analytical roles and faster delivery.
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Stand out in every pitch

Probabilistic insights differentiate your proposals and let you answer executive questions on the spot.

FAQ

QUESTIONS? ANSWERS.

With AI assistance, what used to take days or weeks can now be delivered in hours. A comprehensive probabilistic business case can be scaffolded in 15-30 minutes.

Yes. Create and compare unlimited scenarios side-by-side with probability distributions, expected values, and confidence intervals - perfect for strategy workshops and board discussions.

One-click PDF reports with assumptions, uncertainty bands, tornado charts, and executive summaries. Consistent formatting that elevates your deliverables.

Bayescase is purpose-built for probabilistic modeling. Native Monte Carlo, transparent assumptions, AI assistance, and automated reporting - eliminating the fragility and error-prone nature of spreadsheets.

No. Bayescase is designed for business users. Our AI helps define reasonable probability distributions, and the interface guides users through creating models without deep statistical knowledge.

Probabilistic business cases stand out in proposals and workshops. While competitors present static spreadsheets, you present risk-aware, probability-based insights that executives trust.

READY TO DIFFERENTIATE?

A New Standard for Consulting Business Cases

Deliver faster results, higher-quality insights, and stronger executive impact—all while reducing effort and increasing leverage per consultant.

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